the effects of interest rates volatility on stock returns: evidence from bangladesh

نویسندگان

d. muktadir-al-mukit

چکیده

the paper investigates the effects of interest rates on stock market performance by using monthly time series data for the economy of bangladesh over the period of 1991 to 2012. a wide range of econometric techniques have been employed to analyze the relationship between the interest rate and stock market return. the study reveals a stable and significant long run relationship between the variables. by employing cointegration technique it is observed that in the long run, a one percent increase in interest rate causes 13.20 % decrease in market index. the estimated error correction coefficient indicates that 0.12 percent deviation of stock returns are corrected in the short run. impulse response function of the study also affirms the negative relationship between the variables. the result of variance decompositions suggests that about 99.57 % of the variation in stock market returns is attributable to its own shock which implies that stock market returns are largely independent of the other variables in the system. finally, granger causality analysis suggests the existence of a unidirectional causality from interest rate to market index.

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

The Effects of Interest Rates Volatility on Stock Returns: Evidence from Bangladesh

The paper investigates the effects of interest rates on stock market performance by using monthly time series data for the economy of Bangladesh over the period of 1991 to 2012. A wide range of econometric techniques have been employed to analyze the relationship between the interest rate and stock market return. The study reveals a stable and significant long run relationship between the varia...

متن کامل

Stock Market Returns, Return Volatility, and Interest Groups*

This paper provides preliminary evidence that interest groups reduce both the level and the volatility of returns on a national stock market. These findings are robust to model specifications that include traditional growth regression “policy” variables as well as political, economic, and financial institutions variables. The estimated magnitude of the relationship between interest group activi...

متن کامل

Investigating the Effect of Investors' Behavior and Management on the Stock Returns: Evidence from Iran

The purpose of the present study is to investigate the effect of behavioral variables on overconfidence in management, herding behavior and investors' emotional tendency on stock return. To this end, by using the data of firms listed in the Iran's Stock Exchange during the seven-year period of 2010-2016, overconfidence index in management, the herding behavior of the investors and the emotional...

متن کامل

Modeling Stock Market Volatility Using Univariate GARCH Models: Evidence from Bangladesh

This paper investigates the nature of volatility characteristics of stock returns in the Bangladesh stock markets employing daily all share price index return data of Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) and Chittagong Stock Exchange (CSE) from 02 January 1993 to 27 January 2013 and 01 January 2004 to 20 August 2015 respectively.  Furthermore, the study explores the adequate volatility model for the stoc...

متن کامل

Weather effects on returns: Evidence from the Korean stock market

In this study, we attempted to determine whether a relationship exists between stock returns and the weather variables of temperature, humidity, and cloud cover in the Korean stock market. We delineated three key implications with regard to weather effects. First, after the 1997 financial crisis, the presence of a weather effect disappeared. Second, the inclusion of weather variables helps to m...

متن کامل

Application of Adaptive Neuro-fuzzy Inference System in Interest Rates Effects on Stock Returns

In the current study we examine the effects of interest rate changes on common stock returns of Greek banking sector. We examine the Generalized Autoregressive Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) process and an Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS). The conclusions of our findings are that the changes of interest rates, based on GARCH model, are insignificant on common stock returns during the p...

متن کامل

منابع من

با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید


عنوان ژورنال:
international journal of management and business research

ناشر: islamic azad university

ISSN 2228-7019

دوره 3

شماره 3 2013

میزبانی شده توسط پلتفرم ابری doprax.com

copyright © 2015-2023